Parlay lab
Every slate, the engine staples together its highest-conviction picks into correlation-aware parlays — then shows the honest math: true win probability, fair odds, and the real edge over the book's combined price.
Parlays are inherently high-variance. Win probabilities are correlation-adjusted model estimates, not guarantees. For informational purposes only. 18+/21+ where applicable.
Independent legs stapled from the slate's best value — true win probability is the product of each leg.
The two highest win-probability legs on the board — lower payout, best odds of cashing.
2 legs share a sport; applied a 3% correlation haircut to the win probability. Win prob shown is correlation-adjusted (naive independent estimate: 44.0%).
AI-assembled · positive expected value
Three legs balancing real edge, model conviction, and cross-model agreement.
Full leg-by-leg breakdown unlocks with access.
View plans2 legs share a sport; applied a 3% correlation haircut to the win probability. Win prob shown is correlation-adjusted (naive independent estimate: 25.8%).
AI-assembled · positive expected value
Four to five higher-priced legs for maximum payout — every leg still carries a modeled edge.
Full leg-by-leg breakdown unlocks with access.
View plans2 legs share a sport; applied a 3% correlation haircut to the win probability. Win prob shown is correlation-adjusted (naive independent estimate: 3.9%).
AI-assembled · positive expected value
Correlated tickets built around each anchor pick. The edge comes from the anchor leg; companions are priced at the vig-free market. Because the legs move together, the true hit rate is computed with their correlation — not a naive multiply — and a real book will price that correlation into the payout.
Celtics spread + moneyline — one game, two correlated ways to win.
Moneyline and Spread on Celtics are strongly correlated — covering the number and winning outright tend to happen together. A real same-game parlay prices this in, so the book payout will trail the independent-multiply figure; the true hit probability shown already reflects the correlation. Win prob shown is correlation-adjusted (naive independent estimate: 39.1%).
AI-assembled · edge from anchor leg